Brentford vs Burnley, preview
Burnley heads to the Gtech on Saturday at 3pm for only their third visit to the stadium. Burnley have received red cards in both of their previous visits. Their first was by Nathan Collins, who at the time played for Burnley – Collins pulled down Ivan Toney in the box to deny Toney a goal-scoring opportunity. Collins was out of the game, and Toney, of course, made his penalty.
Recent history
The teams have only played each other 4 times in the Premier League, with each winning their home games. Burnley won the last meeting 2-1 at Turf Moor in March 2024.
Recent form
Both teams lost last weekend. Across all competitions, the Bees have won 3 of their last 5, Burnley has won 2 of their last 5.
Opta Power Rankings (as of 28th November 2025)
| Club | Current PL position | Opta rating | PL rank (Opta) | Global rank (Opta) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 13 | 90.7 | 10 | 22 |
| Burnley | 19 | 84.7 | 18 | 64 |
Pre-game correlation
Claret and blue teams away from home
In Brentford's years in the Premier League, they've come up against three teams who wear claret and blue kit – Aston Villa, Burnley and West Ham. The Bees have had reasonable success playing away against these teams, picking up 5 wins and 2 draws in 11 games.
Where Brentford has really shone is at home against these same teams, where they've won 7, drawn 2 and only lost twice.
While the Bees' red and white stripes don't exactly clash with claret and blue, only once in those 11 home games for the Bees have the opposition worn their own home kit. That occasion came early this season, as the Bees beat Aston Villa 1-0. What about the other 10 times?
What kit do claret and blue teams wear when visiting Brentford (source Correlation FC)
| Away kit | Occasions | Brentford results |
|---|---|---|
| Black | 2 | 1 win, 1 draw |
| Blue | 1 | 1 win |
| Bluish-grey | 1 | 1 loss |
| Purple | 5 | 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss |
| Yellow | 1 | 1 win |
The good news? When Burnley has played against teams in red this season, they've worn their blue away kit. If they don't wear that, they'll either be in black or claret and blue, so the Bees should have nothing to worry about.
Other data stories
Bouncing back from losses
Before the Newcastle match, we looked at the stats that showed the difference between the games Brentford had lost, and their much improved results in the game after a loss.
Unfortunately, the Bees lost last weekend at Brighton, so we have a chance to look at our updated numbers.
Brentford's impressive response in games following a loss (Source: FBref.com)
| Statistic | Brentford loss (5 losses) | Game after loss (5 losses) | Brentford loss (6 losses) | Game after loss (6 losses) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Expected goals against (xGa) | 1.16 | 1.25 | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| Shots on target | 2.2 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 |
| Average shot distance (yards) | 16.9 | 11.9 | 17.6 | 13.3 |
| Shot creating actions (SCA) | 10.2 | 21.2 | 11.7 | 22.4 |
| Goal creating actions (GCA) | 0.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 3.6 |
| Blocks (shots and passes) | 10.6 | 16.3 | 10.8 | 14.4 |
The updated numbers (last two columns) are even more impressive than before, which shows that Brentford was very strong against Newcastle, and generated better numbers against Brighton last weekend than they had in some previous losses.
Let's hope that the bounce-back trend continues against Burnley.
This story was published on 28 November 2025. It was written by Dennis Flood. The image at the top of this story was generated using AI.
