Brentford at Wolverhampton, preview
The final day of the 2024-25 season has nearly arrived. Overall, the season has been good for both clubs, leaving them with plenty of optimism for next season. The Wolves have had an especially good run since changing managers just before Christmas 2024, with Vitor Pereira taking over from Gary O'Neil. The Wolves won 6 games in a row between March and April, though have lost their last 3. Brentford still has a chance to qualify for the Europa Conference League, but after losing last week to Fulham and Crystal Palace winning the FA Cup, they're going to need a win and a lot of luck to qualify now.
Recent history
The Bees have won the last 2 encounters, including a 5-3 goal-fest in October 2024, but the Wolves have generally had the underhand against Brentford over their recent history. The teams have only had 3 draws over the past 10 years, so chances are there will be a winner on Sunday.
Pre-game correlation
Both the Wolves and Bees have managed to get a high percentage of their shots on target, They've done it differently though, with Brentford having the shortest average shot distance and Wolves having the longest.
Prediction #1
Brentford's average shot distance will be shorter than the Wolves average shot distance.
Prediction #2
Wolves have conceded more penalties than any other team. Brentford has been good at earning penalties. The Bees will be awarded a penalty AND Bryan Mbeumo will score it.
Prediction #3
Both teams have exceeded their xG by a large margin this season. The Bees and Wolves will both outscore their xG.
Prediction #4
The Bees are tied for 5th in the league with 8 goals created by other shots – essentially they're good at scoring from rebounds. They'll score a goal from a rebound against Wolves.
Prediction #5
Brentford has been at or near the top of the league all season in aerial duel winning percentage. They currently sit second, while Wolves are 15th. The Bees will win more aerial duels than the Wolves.
Prediction #6
Brentford have won their final league away game in each of their Premier League seasons. Wolves have not won their final league home game since 2019-2020. Brentford will win the game.
Other data stories
Lots to play for on the final day
League play has been exciting this year. While we know who will win the league and who will be relegate, in terms of league position, 17 of the 20 teams still have something to play for.
Possible finishing positions after match week 37 (source Correlation FC)
| Current position | Team | Points | Possible finishing position(s) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 83 | 1 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 71 | 2, 3 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 68 | 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 |
| 4 | Newcastle | 66 | 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 66 | 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 66 | 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 |
| 7 | Nottingham Forest | 65 | 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 |
| 8 | Brighton | 58 | 8, 9 |
| 9 | Brentford | 55 | 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 |
| 10 | Fulham | 54 | 9, 10, 11, 12 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 53 | 9, 10, 11, 12 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 52 | 9, 10, 11, 12 |
| 13 | Everton | 45 | 13 |
| 14 | Wolves | 41 | 14, 15, 16, 17 |
| 15 | West Ham | 40 | 14, 15, 16, 17 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 39 | 14, 15, 16, 17 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 15, 16, 17 |
| 18 | Leicester City | 25 | 18, 19 |
| 19 | Ipswich Town | 22 | 18, 19 |
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 20 |
This story was published on 23 May 2025. It was written by Dennis Flood. The image at the top of this story was generated using AI.
