Brentford wins 1-0 away against Ipswich Town
Kevin Schade's 18th minute goal was enough to give the Bees a 1-0 win at Portman Road. The win, the Bees' 4th in a row, lifted the Bees into 8th place, with two games remaining.
Let's check the pre-game Correlation FC predictions:
Prediction #1
Brentford will wear their home kit away from home against Ipswich Town.
Correct. Ipswich did wear their home blue, and the Bees did wear their home red and white.
Prediction #2
Ipswich Town will have an xG of greater than 0.89 and Brentford will have an xG of greater than 1.53.
Wrong and Wrong. The Tractor Boys ended with an xG of 0.75 and the Bees had 1.21.
Prediction #3
Brentford will end the game with an xG greater than 1.53 and they will also end the game with 3 points
Wrong but right. The xG prediction was off, but the Bees did outperform Ipswich on xG and score, meaning they did take all 3 points.
Trends that continued
4 wins in a row, etc.
The Bees have continued to finish the season well. They've won 4 straight league games, are undefeated in 6, and only have 2 losses in 12. In the calendar year, they've amassed more points away from home than any other team.
Corner goal
Schade's goal, assisted by Bryan Mbeumo, came from a corner. This was the Bee's 5th goal from a corner this season. That matches the 5 goals they've scored from throw-ins. They've also added 3 more from free kicks for a total of 13 goals from set pieces.
3 subs
The Bees made 3 substitutes during the game, the 12th time they've done so this season. When Thomas Frank has made 3 subs, the team has won 4, drawn 4 and only lost 2. They've also picked up 5 clean sheets along the way.
More points on Saturday
Unsurprisingly, the Bees have played most of their games on Saturday this season. However, that's not a problem as the team have performed well on Saturdays in 2024-25, picking up 36 of their 55 points on the day. Fortunately for the Bees, there are no more Wednesday matches this season.
Brentford's performance by day of week (source Correlation FC)
| Day | Games | Points | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Tuesday | 1 | 1 | 1.00 |
| Wednesday | 4 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Thursday | 1 | 3 | 3.00 |
| Friday | 2 | 4 | 2.00 |
| Saturday | 20 | 36 | 1.80 |
| Sunday | 7 | 10 | 1.43 |
What was different
Ajer missing
Kristoffer Ajer was missing from the Bees lineup. His absence pushed the total number of Bees unavailable up to 5. With any luck, both he and Aaron Hickey will be available for next weekend's home finale against Fulham.
Other data stories
Schade's goals
With 4 goals in the last 3 games, Schade has really picked up his goal production. He continues to be a versatile contributor with near equal numbers of goals with his right foot (4), left foot (3) and head (4).
Kevin Schade has been a versatile goal scorer in 2024-25 (source Correlation FC)
Impressive Yarmoliuk
Yehor Yarmoliuk put in another solid performance for Brentford. His role in midfield beside Christian Norgaard became even more important than usual when Norgaard picked up a yellow card in the 17th minute. Norgaard was able to finish the game, but couldn't be as aggressive on tackles as usual. Yarmoliuk more than made up for it though, with impressive stats in a number of categories.
Yehor Yarmoliuk was impressive in midfield for the Bees against Ipswich Town (source FBref.com)
| Category | Total | Team rank |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 3 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 1 |
| Touches in middle 3rd | 34 | 1 (tie) |
| Passes received | 41 | 1 (tie) |
| Times fouled | 3 | 1 |
| Pass completion % | 97.9% | 1* |
| Pass completions | 47 | 2 |
| Carries | 32 | 2 (tie) |
| Progressive passes | 5 | 3 |
This story was published on 11 May 2025. It was written by Dennis Flood. The image at the top of this story was generated using AI.
