Brentford FC loses 2-1 away to Newcastle

Brentford FC loses 2-1 away to Newcastle
Matchweek: 30
Date: Wednesday, 02 April 2025
Kickoff time: 19:45
Weather: Perfect spring evening
April 02
Kickoff 19:45
Clear 10°

Bryan Mbeumo's penalty was not enough as Newcastle beat the Bees 2-1 at St James' Park.

It wasn't a great game for predictions, but let's check in anyway:

Prediction #1

If the teams combine for 6 goals, Brentford will win or draw.

Didn't happen. The teams only combined for 3 goals and the Bees lost.

Prediction #2

If Michael Kayode is healthy and comes into the game as a sub, Brentford will win, as they are undefeated when he comes off the bench away from home.

Also didn't happen. He was on the bench, but didn't come into the game.

Trends that continued

Mbeumo still perfect from the penalty spot

Mbeumo's penalty was his tenth successful one in a row in the Premier League. He has scored five penalties this season, which leaves him third in the league behind Mo Salah and Justin Kluivert. This was, unfortunately, the first time that the Bees lost this season when he scored a penalty.

Two goals against on the road is not a recipe for success

This was the sixth time this season the Bees have given up two goals away from home and lost. They have not yet won away from home while conceding two or more goals. However, at home, they've won four games and drawn another while giving up two or more.

Isak loves the Bees

Alexander Isak scored against the Bees. Again. He has now scored against Brentford in each of the four games he has played against them. He even scored against Denmark in a friendly in June 2024 when the Danes had several players in the lineup.

What was different

Isak's goal came in first half injury time. That's the first time this season the Bees have given up a goal in that time period.

Sepp van den Berg made his first start for the Bees since mid February. The Bees only picked up 5 points in the 5 games that he missed due to injury. Let's see how he stacks up against other players who have missed 4 or more games.

Brentford points per game in games missed due to injury (source Correlation FC)
Player Matches missed due to injury Team points in those games Average points per game missed
Christian Norgaard 4 2 0.50
Sepp van den Berg 5 5 1.00
Mathias Jensen 14 15 1.07
Ethan Pinnock 7 8 1.14
Fabio Carvalho 5 6 1.20

Mark Flekken has only missed one start due to injury, and the Bees lost that game. Let's hope he doesn't face any more injuries, as I'm sure he'd rather not see his name in the table above.


This story was published on 04 April 2025. It was written by Dennis Flood. The image at the top of this story was generated using AI.