Bees win 4-0 at Leicester City
Let's check the pre-game Correlation FC predictions:
Correlation FC pre-game prediction
Kevin Schade will score a goal at some point during the game with some part of his body.
Close, but not quite right. The Bees scored plenty and Schade had some chances but the closest he came was a first half header off the left post. This means the Correlation FC prediction was wrong.
Correlation FC pre-game prediction #2
The Bees will stick with their pink away kit as they've won their last two games with it.
Wrong, unless you consider red and white stripes to equate to pink. On a blurry enough screen they do. The Bees picked up their first road win of the season in their home kit. They've now won an away game in each of their three kits.
Game summary
After Mark Flekken, Ethan Pinnock and Nathan Collins combined to stop Jamie Vardy early on, the Bees took control and were ahead 3-0 after 32 minutes. The game turned a bit dull in the second half, but in a good way, at least for Bees supporters.
Trends that continued
Super sub competition
Yehor Yarmoliuk and Fabio Carvalho continued their battle to become Brentford's super sub of the season. Carvalho has subbed in 16 times to Yarmoliuk's 14. Carvalho has scored twice when coming off the bench. Kevin Schade is the only other Bee to score off the bench this season.
Yarmoliuk and Carvalho comparison (source Correlation FC)
| Player | Substitute appearances | Team points in substitute appearances | Points per game | Official goal involvements | CFCGC1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabio Carvalho | 16 | 24 | 1.50 | 3 | 4 |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | 14 | 25 | 1.79 | 0 | 2 |
Goals, goals, goals
This was the 8th time that the Bees have scored more than two goals this season. They've won each of those games. Seven of the eight have been in their home red and white stripes.
Four scorers
This is the fourth time this season that the Bees have had four or more different goal scorers in a game.
Brentford games with four or more different goal scorers (source Correlation FC)
| Date | Opponent | Winning score | Brentford's goal scorers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5th October 2024 | Wolves | 5-3 | Collins, Mbeumo, Norgaard, Pinnock, Carvalho |
| 7th December 2024 | Newcastle | 4-2 | Mbeumo, Wissa, Collins, Schade |
| 4th January 2025 | Southampton | 5-0 | Schade, Mbeumo (x2), Lewis-Potter, Wissa |
| 21st February 2024 | Leicester City | 4-0 | Wissa, Mbeumo, Norgaard, Carvalho |
Recent road dominance
After not picking up a single win in the first nine away games of the season, the Bees have now won four in a row. It would be great to see this trend continue, but the next four away games are against Bournemouth, Newcastle, Arsenal and Nottingham Forest.
Norgaard headers
Bees captain Christian Norgaard scored his ninth Premier League goal, with five of those being headers.
Cleaner sheets
Brentford picked up their fifth clean sheet of the season, and their third win with a clean sheet. Their first two clean sheets of the season were nil-nil draws (both away, against Brighton and Everton).
Trends that stopped
Friday night fright night
This was the Bee's first win on a Friday. In fact it was their first win on a weekday this season. It was also their first win in a game starting after 3pm. They had been held winless in their previous five attempts.
Can't Can win without Sepp
While we hope that Sepp van den Berg comes back quickly, we were happy to see the Bees break their previous winless streak without him. He's now missed three games due to injury, and the Bees have one win, one loss and one draw in those games. No way to tell what will happen next.
Trends that changed
Five subs is best
Brentford's best results (average points per game) had previously come when they made exactly 3 substitutes per game. That changed with the win against the Foxes, when Thomas Frank made 5 substitutes. Note that the Bees haven't had a game yet this season where they made 0 or 1 substitutes.
Brentford games with four or more different goal scorers (source Correlation FC)
| Date | Opponent | Winning score | Brentford's goal scorers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5th October 2024 | Wolves | 5-3 | Collins, Mbeumo, Norgaard, Pinnock, Carvalho |
| 7th December 2024 | Newcastle | 4-2 | Mbeumo, Wissa, Collins, Schade |
| 4th January 2025 | Southampton | 5-0 | Schade, Mbeumo (x2), Lewis-Potter, Wissa |
| 21st February 2024 | Leicester City | 4-0 | Wissa, Mbeumo, Norgaard, Carvalho |
1 Learn about why Correlation FC Goal Contributions are a more interesting way to measure offensive contributions. ↩︎
This story was published on 22 February 2025. It was written by Dennis Flood. The image at the top of this story was generated using AI.
